mebb.de
Iran-Krise

Auch bei der isolationistischen Rechten in den USA wächst offensichtlich das Unbehagen über eine mögliche US Militäraktion gegenüber Israel.

Patrick Buchanan ist zwar nicht unbedingt ein Freund differenzierter Argumentation, aber eine wichtige Stimme unter den traditionellen Rechten. In der jüngsten Ausgabe des „American Conservative” sieht auch er in die Bush Regierung auf eine Situation zusteuern, in der ein Militärschlag die einzige verbliebene Option bliebe.

While there seems no sense of urgency in Washington, the Bush Doctrine and Cheney ultimatum have painted us into a corner. Either Iran’s nuclear program is shut down, or the Bush Doctrine will have been defied by Tehran and Pyongyang, leaving Iraq as the Bush legacy.

All this has led to speculation that this summer or fall, Bush, his options having been exhausted, will order the air strikes.

Dem Präsidenten würde es nur nutzen.

Bush’s rating could soar 20 points. Republicans would rally at the return of the 9/11 president. Democrats would be loath to attack a president who acted forcefully to remove what they themselves say is an intolerable threat. The neocons and Christian Right would hail Bush as the new Churchill. Bush would hold onto both houses in November, costing Democrats their best chance in a decade of recouping power.

Aber der Schaden für die langfristigen US Interessen wäre immens.

Iran could push its Shia allies to attack British and U.S. troops and send Revolutionary Guard “volunteers” in, which could mean a U.S. debacle, unless we responded with more American troops. Tehran could make us pay a price in blood in Afghanistan.

Tehran could also send its agents into the emirates, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia to attack U.S. installations, setting the Near East ablaze and oil prices soaring to $200 a barrel, plunging the West into recession.

Was rät Buchanan?

Cal Coolidge counseled that when you see ten troubles coming up the road, sometimes the best thing to do is nothing because nine of them will fall into the ditch before they get to you.

Und was ist mit dem zehnten Problem??