Das Problem ist Pakistan

24. July 2008 - 10:03

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In den Jahren von 2003 bis 2007 war General John Abizaid der Befehlshaber für das US Central Command for iraq and Afghanistan. Er ist inzwischen aus dem Dienst ausgeschieden und hält, wie pensionierte Top-Generäle dies gern tun, gelegentlich eine kleine Rede. So am vergangenen Montag vor dem Pacific Council. Er sprach über den Irak, den Iran, den allgemeinen Lauf der Welt, den US Wahlkampf  und auch über die Situation in Afghanistan und Pakistan.

Das Weblog Huffingtonpost fasst seine Ausführungen zu Afghanistan heute wie folgt zusammen:

Seeming to question Obama’s idea of shifting brigades to Afghanistan, Abizaid echoed what Afghan president Hamid Karzai told me in January: the problem with Al Qaeda’s resurgence is not in Afghanistan, but in Pakistan.

“We’ve seen Al-Qaida weakened in Iraq but its growing presence in the Pakistani territories along the Afghan border and in the horn of Africa,” according to Abizaid. “In terms of confronting Al Qaeda, the problem we face today is in Pakistan, not Afghanistan. It is not as if there is a roiling insurgency taking place in Afghanistan. Its stability depends on what happens in the Pashtun areas of Pakistan.”

In the longer term, by Abizaid’s analysis, Iraq and Afghanistan are not the key problems. Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are. “Pakistan is a nuclear-armed state that is unstable. In Saudi Arabia, the fight between the ruling famliy and the clerical class has yet to play itself out. The clerical class’ theological frame is essentially Osama bin Laden’s ideology.”